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A Comprehensive Analysis of Nifty 50 Rebalancing since 2017

13 July 20236 mins read by Angel One
The majority of gainers were among the stocks included in the Nifty 50, while most of the losers were from the stocks that were excluded from the index.
A Comprehensive Analysis of Nifty 50 Rebalancing since 2017
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The Nifty 50, the flagship index of the National Stock Exchange, is one of the most widely tracked and referenced benchmarks in the Indian stock market. Twice a year, the Nifty 50 index undergoes a rebalancing process, which plays a crucial role in maintaining its relevance and accuracy as a representation of the Indian equity market.

The process of rebalancing involves reviewing the constituents of the index and making necessary adjustments. In the case of the Nifty 50, this rebalancing occurs semi-annually, typically in March and September.

The rebalancing is based on predefined criteria, such as market capitalization, liquidity, and sector representation, to ensure the index remains a reliable indicator of the Indian equity market.

The Index Maintenance Sub-committee reviews the constituents of the Nifty 50 and determines which stocks should be added or removed from the index. The decisions are primarily based on factors like market capitalization and trading volumes.

Its rebalancing often attracts attention from market participants. The inclusion of a stock in the index can lead to increased demand for that particular stock, while its exclusion may result in selling pressure. As a result, the rebalancing process can cause price fluctuations and increased trading volumes for the affected stocks.

In this article, we will analyse the stocks that have been added and removed from the Nifty 50 during the index’s rebalancing process. Additionally, we will compare the performance of these stocks from the date of the changes to the corresponding day of the following year.

Date of Replacement Former Constituent Former Constituent Replaced By Replaced By
Price on Replacement Date Price Next Year % Return Price on Replacement Date Price Next Year % Return
31-Mar-17 BHEL 108.55 82.45 -24.0% Indiabulls Housing Finance 997.75 1243.85 24.7%
Idea Cellular 51.85 47 -9.4% Indian Oil Corporation 129 113.65 -11.9%
26-May-17 Grasim Industries 907.7 1060.3 16.8% Vedanta 242.65 253.65 4.5%
29-Sep-17 ACC 1656.9 1573.6 -5.0% Bajaj Finance 1838.05 2208.5 20.2%
Bank of Baroda 137.5 104.5 -24.0% Hindustan Petroleum 426.8 243.15 -43.0%
Tata Power 77.8 67.95 -12.7% UPL 519 443 -14.6%
02-Apr-18 Ambuja Cements 240.2 229.95 -4.3% Bajaj Finserv 526.75 727.95 38.2%
Aurobindo Pharma 592.55 786.25 32.7% Grasim Industries 1089.25 845.5 -22.4%
Bosch India 18515 17946 -3.1% Titan Company 944.1 1111.9 17.8%
28-Sep-18 Lupin 900.95 717.25 -20.4% JSW Steel 381.65 232.5 -39.1%
29-Mar-19 Hindustan Petroleum 283.85 170.25 -40.0% Britannia Industries 3085.5 2473.5 -19.8%
27-Sep-19 Indiabulls Housing Finance 390.1 155.2 -60.2% Nestlé India 13740.9 15719.8 14.4%
19-Mar-20 Yes Bank 53.5 14.95 -72.1% Shree Cement 17731.45 26936.7 51.9%
31-Jul-20 Vedanta 113.8 301.85 165.2% HDFC Life 627.1 664.05 5.9%
25-Sep-20 Zee Entertainment 198.2 322.25 62.6% SBI Life Insurance Company 797.05 1222.8 53.4%
Bharti Infratel 182.9 * * Divi’s Laboratories 3061.45 4948 61.6%
31-Mar-21 GAIL 90.25 103.55 14.7% Tata Consumer Products 638.9 777.4 21.7%
31-Mar-22 Indian Oil Corp 79.3 77.9 -1.8% Apollo Hospitals 4516.2 4310 -4.6%
30-Sep-22 Shree Cement 21033.1 24261 15.3% Adani Enterprises 3455.7 2387.9 -30.9%

* Bharti Infratel merged with Indus Tower on Nov 2020

Based on the provided data, a total of 19 stocks were added or removed from the Nifty 50 index between March 31, 2017, and September 30, 2022. Out of these 19 stocks, only six managed to generate positive returns over the following one-year period, while the remaining stocks experienced negative returns.

Vedanta Ltd and Zee Entertainment showed the highest returns, with 165.2% and 65.6% respectively. On the other hand, Yes Bank, India Bulls Housing Finance, and Hindustan Petroleum were the biggest losers, generating negative returns of 72%, 60%, and 40% respectively.

When examining the performance of the added stocks within the Nifty 50, eight of them delivered negative returns, while the remaining eleven generated positive returns.

The top performers among the added stocks were Divis Laboratories, SBI Life Insurance, and Shree Cement, which generated returns of 61%, 53%, and 52% respectively. Hindustan Petroleum and JSW Steel were the top losers, with negative returns of 43% and 39% respectively.

Furthermore, the majority of gainers were among the stocks included in the Nifty 50, while most of the losers were from the stocks that were excluded from the index.

From this analysis, we can conclude that the inclusion or exclusion of stocks in the Nifty 50 may have a short-term impact on their performance. However, in the long run, a company’s fundamentals and market conditions tend to be the primary drivers of its share performance.

Disclaimer: This blog has been written exclusively for educational purposes. The securities mentioned are only examples and not recommendations. It is based on several secondary sources on the internet, and is subject to changes. Please consult an expert before making related decisions.

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