The Hindenburg report – the rippling effects it caused led Adani Enterprises to call off ₹20,000 crores FPO. Adani Enterprises stocks suffered a massive loss of 28.45% on February 1, 2023, closing at ₹2,128.70. Following the event, Adani Group announced to call off their ₹20,000 crores FPO and return investors’ money. They stated that they did it to safeguard investors’ interests.
We will now analyse the events that unfurled after the Hindenburg report.
In the report, Hindenburg accused Adani Group of “brazen stock manipulation and accounting fraud scheme over the course of decades.” Although Adani denounced the report as baseless and malicious and even threatened legal proceedings against the reporting agency, the market reaction was immediate and brutal. Adani Group stocks were hit badly. Seeing the volatile market reaction, the Adani Board announced that it is not ‘morally correct’ to continue with the FPO.
Adani Enterprises’ stocks have fallen further after the FPO got called off. In the last five days, Adani group stocks have crashed. Adani Enterprises stocks lost another 13.47% on February 2, 2023, to trade at ₹1,847.70. The Gautam Adani Group’s flagship company stocks have crashed 30% amid Credit Suisse news. All ten stocks belonging to Gautam Adani are trading in the red zone.
It is one of the largest group of companies in India which specialises in infrastructure projects in coal, ports, cement, green energy and even edible oil. It has made the news in India lately because of its rapid expansion in the cement industry (buying majority stake in Ambuja Cement and ACC Ltd.) as well as news media (buying around 30% shares of NDTV). Its owner, Mr. Gautam Adani has been one of the top 4 richest persons in the world for some time now. The following is a list of a few of the major listed companies that come under the Adani Group –
Hindenburg Research is a US-based research team that offers services in forensic financial research, with a focus on equity, credit and derivatives analysis. Their fundamental research often includes studying and reporting on companies with accounting irregularities, unethical practices in business/related-party transactions, bad management etc. Its primary method for investment is said to be short-selling.
Note: Short selling basically involves borrowing an asset now in order to sell it, only to buy it back at a lower price and then return the borrowed asset. The view taken basically is a bearish one.
Usually they write reports on western companies such as Nikola, Genius Brands, SC Worx etc. However, on 24th January, 2023 they wrote a report on the Adani Group, claiming that the latter were pulling the “largest con in corporate history”. They also revealed that they were holding a short position on the Adani stocks, signalling their belief that the shares are overpriced and will dip in value soon.
The following are some of the claims made by Hindenburg Research on Adani Group –
Note: All the above claims are those made by Hindenburg Research in its report and are neither confirmed nor denied by Angel One.
Through a twitter post on 25th January, 2023, the Adani Group said that the report is “ a malicious combination of selective misinformation and stale, baseless and discredited allegations that have been tested and rejected by India’s highest courts”. They questioned the timing of the post (in the context of the Adani Enterprises FPO which came on 27th January 2023 and is the biggest FPO in India ever).
Thereafter, it responded with a point-by-point rebuttal of the allegations made by Hindenburg Research.
There were several other points raised by the rebuttal report from the Adani Group. However, they also mentioned that they will be looking at legal avenues in order to take remedial and punitive measures against those who casted these allegations on the Adani Group.
Hindenburg Research in turn mentioned that if legal actions do take place, they too will demand the release of several important documents to the public and judicial eye during the trial. In other words, when it comes to its Adani Report Hindenburg has chosen to stand by it so far.
Seven listed companies in the Adani Group lost over $10.73 billion dollars in market capitalisation on 25th January i.e. after the release of the Hindenburg report. The Adani Enterprises FPO may have suffered too, as in the early hours of its opening day, the price was hovering at around Rs 3130, which is close to the lower end of the price band of Rs 3112-3276 per share.
However, it must be noted that no Adani Group company has ever defaulted on their debt repayments so far. Moreover, the bank debt component in the total debt of the Adani group has only fallen (from 86% in FY16 to less than 40% in FY22) – which means any potential issue in the repayment is less likely to have any impact on the banking system.
The conglomerate is one of the global leaders in infrastructure and also has some famous brands under its wing such as Fortune edible oil and rice. The total revenue of the group is said to be around $ 23 billion dollars yearly.
Retail investors may not need to worry about the entire Adani Group Hindenburg clash as in the larger scheme of things, the Adani Group may be considered by some as a ‘too big to fail’ entity. Allegations, legal suits come and go – but if as an investor you found a stock to be fundamentally strong or weak by your own metrics then you may choose to stick with your decision. The best way forward is to independently analyse any new information on the fundamentals and price action and take an unbiased decision considering returns and timeline.
If the above scenario caught your interest, perhaps you would like to check out more of our blogs and finance content. In case you want to invest in stocks you like, open demat account today with Angel One, India’s trusted broker.
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