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Indian Financial System Shows Strength and Resilience: RBI Report

28 June 20243 mins read by Angel One
Under the baseline scenario, the GNPA ratio of all SCBs is expected to improve to 2.5% by March 2025 but could rise to 3.4% under a severe stress scenario.
Indian Financial System Shows Strength and Resilience: RBI Report
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The Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) latest Financial Stability Report paints a positive picture of India’s financial landscape, highlighting the stability and strength of the banking system.

Key Findings

  • Healthy Asset Quality: Scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) have achieved a multi-year low in gross non-performing assets (GNPAs), reaching 2.8% as of March 2024. This indicates a significant improvement in loan performance and a more robust banking system.
  • Strong Capital Adequacy: SCBs maintain a comfortable buffer against potential losses, with their capital-to-risk-weighted assets ratio (CRAR) and common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio standing at 16.8% and 13.9%, respectively, at the end of March 2024. This ensures their ability to absorb potential financial shocks without needing additional capital infusion.
  • Resilience Under Stress: Stress tests conducted by the RBI indicate that SCBs are well-positioned to withstand various economic scenarios. Even under severe stress conditions, the system-level CRAR is projected to remain comfortably above the minimum regulatory requirement.

Looking Forward

Projected Improvement: Under normal economic conditions, the GNPA ratio of SCBs is expected to improve further to 2.5% by March 2025. However, the report acknowledges the possibility of a rise to 3.4% under a severe stress scenario.

Beyond Banking

Healthy NBFC Sector: Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) also demonstrate positive signs, maintaining a healthy capital adequacy ratio (CRAR) of 26.6%.

Global Context

Elevated Global Risks: Despite positive signs domestically, the report acknowledges potential risks stemming from the global economy, including geopolitical tensions, high public debt levels, and challenges in disinflation. However, it highlights that the global financial system has remained resilient thus far.

Overall, the RBI report offers a reassuring assessment of India’s financial stability. The robust health of the banking system and the ability to withstand potential economic challenges position India for continued financial growth.

Disclaimer: This blog has been written exclusively for educational purposes. The securities mentioned are only examples and not recommendations. It is based on several secondary sources on the internet and is subject to changes. Please consult an expert before making related decisions.

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