Technical & Derivatives Report
Quite similar to the last couple of sessions, the bank nifty started
on a flat note, and an attempt to bounce got sold into. Yesterday
on the weekly expiry we didn't see major traction and after a
gradual decline Bank Nifty ended with a minor loss of 0.25% at
34684.
As mentioned in the previous outlook and as seen in the chart, the
bank index is approaching the key support level of trendline
joining higher bottoms. Hence, we are now placed at a make or
break level and if any bounce has to come then it has to be from
the current levels. Going ahead crucial support is placed around
34525 followed by 34200 whereas resistance is placed around
35000 and 35250 levels. Traders can prefer having a stock-
specific approach from the space however one should avoid
aggressive bets overnight on the weekend.
Key Levels
Support 1 – 34525 Resistance 1 – 35000
Support 2 – 34200 Resistance 2 – 35250
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Exhibit 2: Nifty Bank Daily Chart
Sensex (52319) / Nifty (15680)
For the second straight session, we started the proceedings
marginally higher as indicated by the SGX Nifty. However, the buying
interest is still missing and as a result, markets are finding it extremely
difficult to sustain at higher levels. Barring one attempt of recovery at
the mid-session, the index remained under a bit of pressure
throughout the session. However the damage is not big though and
hence, the weekly expiry ended tad below 15700 with nominal losses.
Throughout this week, the intraday price action was quite identical
where we see index sliding from the opening point and closing
almost at the lowest point of the day. As a momentum trader, one
needs volatility in the market and if not volatility then a good stock
specific action at least. Since last few days, both these important
factors are missing and this consolidation in a slender range is really
frustrating traders now. In such times, it’s better not to trade
aggressively and more importantly, avoiding compulsive trades is the
key here. As far as levels are concerned, Nifty is very close to its crucial
support i.e. 15650. If any recovery has to happen, it’s the best place
for bulls to take the charge. If we do not sustain here, we may see
weakness persisting to test 15550 – 15450 levels. On the higher side,
15750 followed by 15850 are to be seen as immediate hurdles.
Key Levels
Support 1 – 15700 Resistance 1 – 15800
Support 2 – 15650 Resistance 2 – 15900