India’s chemical sector has faced significant challenges in recent years, plagued by rising input prices, poor demand, limited pricing power, and destocking in international markets. Stocks in the sector have underperformed the broader Nifty 50 Index since FY23. However, improving demand conditions, rising exports, and softer input prices suggest better times ahead for chemical companies. Despite these positive indicators, not all segments are performing equally well, and valuations have surged, requiring investors to be selective in their investments.
The primary issue for India’s chemical sector has been declining demand, especially in Europe, where the economic environment has been weak. Cheap exports from China and rising exports from Europe, due to weak domestic demand, have led to oversupply in the sector. This has resulted in sharp destocking, slower purchases, and declining pricing power. However, Q4 FY24 saw signs of improvement. Despite lower chemical prices, Indian companies recorded the highest-ever exports of chemicals (excluding petrochemicals). This strong export momentum has continued into FY25. Additionally, lower crude prices in FY25 are expected to reduce input costs, boosting margins in the chemicals sector.
The improvement in demand has been more pronounced in certain areas. Commodity chemicals are best positioned in the recovery cycle, followed by specialty chemicals, while agrochemicals are expected to recover more slowly.
The following are the best chemical stocks in India shortlisted based on their impressive cash flow growth, NPM, OPM, returns over the past year and month, sales growth over three years, and profit growth over three years.
Name | Market Cap (Rs crore) | Return over 1year | Sales growth 3Years | Profit growth 3Years | YoY NPM growth (bps) | YoY OPM Growth (bps) |
Prem. Explosives | 4,257.89 | 824.82% | 21.00% | 166.08% | 689 | 854 |
Himadri Special | 19,775.28 | 202.00% | 35.57% | 105.55% | 409 | 584 |
Amines & Plast. | 1,396.11 | 180.98% | 13.55% | 6.92% | 233 | 357 |
Hindcon Chemical | 269.32 | 179.74% | 13.37% | 9.32% | 457 | 497 |
Keltech Energies | 406.80 | 158.14% | 26.84% | 68.46% | 218 | 261 |
Conclusion
The Indian chemical sector is poised for recovery, with improving demand conditions, rising exports, and softer input prices indicating better times ahead. However, investors need to remain cautious and selective, focusing on stocks with strong fundamentals and favourable growth metrics. Premier Explosives, Himadri Speciality Chemical, Amines & Plasticisers, Hindcon Chemicals, and Keltech Energies have demonstrated impressive performance across various financial metrics, making them top picks in the sector. As the demand scenario remains dynamic, keeping a close watch on market developments will be crucial in capturing superior returns on investment.
Disclaimer: This blog has been written exclusively for educational purposes. The securities mentioned are only examples and not recommendations. The information is based on various secondary sources on the internet and is subject to change. Please consult with a financial expert before making investment decisions.
Published on: Jun 26, 2024, 5:11 PM IST
We're Live on WhatsApp! Join our channel for market insights & updates