Indian IT Professionals Grapple with H-1B Uncertainty under Trump’s Presidency

Donald Trump’s return to the White House has sparked concerns among H-1B visa holders and Indian IT professionals. Known for his previous policies favouring American workers, Trump’s leadership raises the prospect of stricter regulations on foreign talent, a scenario that could significantly impact the aspirations of Indian workers in specialised fields like IT and artificial intelligence.

Evolving Reliance on the H-1B Visa

The H-1B visa is an important pathway for foreign professionals to work in the United States, particularly in industries that require advanced expertise. Indian-origin companies have historically been among the top beneficiaries, with USCIS data showing they secured 24,766 out of 130,000 H-1B visas issued between April and September 2024. Firms like Infosys and Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) have long relied on this programme to bridge skill gaps in their US operations.

However, recent years have seen Indian IT firms reduce their dependence on the H-1B visa by hiring more local talent. HCLTech reported that 80% of its US workforce now comprises locals, while Wipro has adopted a similar approach. These shifts are driven by both regulatory uncertainties and the need for greater self-sufficiency.

Tighter Regulations and Challenges for Indian Workers

The number of H-1B visa approvals has been declining, with major sponsors like Amazon, Infosys, and TCS seeing notable drops in 2024. Economic factors such as the global recession and the rise of AI-driven business models have also contributed to reduced demand for traditional tech roles.

Adding to the challenges, Senator Bernie Sanders recently proposed amendments to the H-1B programme, including doubling application fees and raising minimum wage requirements. Sanders argued that these measures would prioritise local talent and prevent companies from undercutting American workers’ wages. While these proposals aim to address domestic concerns, they could make it more difficult for Indian professionals to secure employment in the US.

Conclusion

Indian IT professionals face an uncertain future as Trump’s presidency revives stricter policies on foreign workers. While companies are adapting to these challenges by hiring more locally, the path ahead for Indian talent in the US remains fraught with obstacles.

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