The NSE benchmark Nifty50 index on January 2, 2025, opened on a positive note and sustained its momentum, reclaiming the crucial psychological level of 24,000. By 2:00 PM, the index was trading 380 points higher at 24,127 (+1.61%), marking one of its sharpest single-day gains in over a month.
A robust market breadth propelled the index upwards, with 48 stocks advancing against just 2 stocks in the red. The rally was led by Infosys and M&M, collectively contributing 101 points to the Nifty50, followed by Bajaj Finance, Maruti, and Reliance. On the downside, Sun Pharma and Britannia registered modest losses.
A noteworthy aspect of the rally was the decline in market volatility. The India VIX—the volatility gauge—dropped by 3.65%, slipping below the 14-mark.
Historically, January has been a subdued month for the Nifty50 index. Since 1999, the average return for January has been just 0.17%, with a 55.5% probability of negative performance. Moreover, since 2019, the index has failed to deliver positive returns in January, as shown below:
Year | Return in % |
2024 | -0.03 |
2023 | -2.45 |
2022 | -0.08 |
2021 | -2.48 |
2020 | -1.7 |
2019 | -0.29 |
Contrary to past trends, 2025 has begun on a strong note. In just the first two trading sessions, the index has already delivered a 2% return, indicating renewed optimism among investors.
The best-performing January on record was in 2012, with a 12.43% gain, followed by 1999 and 2001, which saw gains of 9.27% and 8.56%, respectively.
As of January 1, 2025, the Nifty50 PE ratio stands at 21.9, which is below its 1-month, 3-month, 2-year, and 5-year averages. This suggests the index is reasonably valued, providing room for further upside.
Disclaimer: This blog has been written exclusively for educational purposes. The securities mentioned are only examples and not recommendations. This does not constitute a personal recommendation/investment advice. It does not aim to influence any individual or entity to make investment decisions. Recipients should conduct their own research and assessments to form an independent opinion about investment decisions.
Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing.
Published on: Jan 2, 2025, 3:28 PM IST
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