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Can Novelis Monetization Spark a Revaluation of Hindalco Shares?

23 February 20244 mins read by Angel One
Novelis remains optimistic about its future prospects, with management anticipating a sustainable EBITDA per ton of $525, driven by the recovery in the beverage packaging segment
Can Novelis Monetization Spark a Revaluation of Hindalco Shares?
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In a significant move for the aluminum industry, Novelis Inc., a global leader in sustainable aluminum solutions, has confidentially submitted a draft registration statement on Form F-1 with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for its proposed initial public offering (IPO) of common shares. This announcement marks a pivotal moment for Novelis as it prepares to take its next steps towards greater market accessibility and expansion.

A Look Back: Novelis’ Journey under Birla’s Wing

Before delving into this latest development, it’s worth revisiting Novelis’ transformative journey since its acquisition by Hindalco Industries Limited, a part of the renowned Birla Group, in 2007. The acquisition, valued at approximately $6 billion, signified a strategic move by Hindalco to bolster its presence in the global aluminum market. Under the terms of the agreement, Novelis then shareholders had received $44.93 in cash for each outstanding common share.

As per Canadian law, Hindalco, through its wholly-owned subsidiary AV Metals Inc, acquired 75,415,536 common shares of Novelis, representing 100 per cent of the outstanding common shares. Immediately after closing, AV Metals Inc transferred the common shares of Novelis to its wholly-owned subsidiary AV Aluminum Inc.

Under the stewardship of the Birla Group, Novelis has thrived, cementing its position as a frontrunner in aluminum rolling and recycling solutions. Noteworthy milestones include Novelis’ recent announcement of its ambitious greenfield recycling and rolling aluminum project in Bay Minette, Alabama, representing an investment of $4.1 billion. This project underscores Novelis’ commitment to sustainability and innovation, positioning it as a leader in the transition towards a circular economy.

Financial Insights and Market Outlook

Novelis boasts an impressive annual revenue of $18.5 billion and an EBITDA of $1.8 billion, indicative of its robust financial performance and operational excellence. With a diversified portfolio catering to automotive, aerospace, beverage cans, and specialty segments, Novelis operates 19 manufacturing plants across nine countries and employs over 13,000 people worldwide.

In its most recent quarterly report, Novelis demonstrated resilience amidst market challenges, with shipments reaching 910 Kt and quarterly EBITDA soaring to $454 million, marking a 33% year-on-year increase. The company attributes this success to favorable metal benefits from recycling, higher pricing, and improved operational efficiency.

Looking ahead, Novelis remains optimistic about its future prospects, with management anticipating a sustainable EBITDA per ton of $525, driven by the recovery in the beverage packaging segment and resilient market demand.

Financial Position and Strategic Initiatives

On the financial front, Hindalco’s consolidated net debt stands at Rs 34,835 crores, with the Indian operations boasting a net cash position of Rs 3,632 crores. In contrast, Novelis reported a net debt of Rs 38,467 crores at the end of December 2023. Despite this, Novelis remains focused on prudent financial management, evidenced by the prepayment of long-term debts totaling Rs 4,370 crores during the period.

In conclusion, Novelis’ decision to pursue an IPO represents a significant milestone in its journey towards greater market accessibility and expansion. With a strong financial foundation, a commitment to sustainability, and a track record of innovation, Novelis is poised for continued success in the dynamic global aluminum market.

Disclaimer: This blog has been written exclusively for educational purposes. The securities mentioned are only examples and not recommendations. It is based on several secondary sources on the internet and is subject to changes. Please consult an expert before making related decisions.

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