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Overview of the Indian Two-Wheeler Automobile Manufacturing Industry

20 June 20246 mins read by Angel One
From 2024 to 2030, the Indian two-wheeler market is projected to witness consistent growth, with sales hitting 22,764,730 units by 2030.
Overview of the Indian Two-Wheeler Automobile Manufacturing Industry
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The Indian automobile industry has historically been a good indicator of how well the economy is doing, as the automobile sector plays a key role in both macroeconomic expansion and technological advancement. The two-wheelers segment dominates the market in terms of volume, owing to a growing middle class and a huge percentage of India’s population being young. Moreover, the growing interest of companies in exploring the rural markets further aided the growth of the sector. The rising logistics and passenger transportation industries are driving up demand for commercial vehicles. Future market growth is anticipated to be fueled by new trends including the electrification of vehicles, particularly two-wheelers.

Share in India’s GDP 7.1%
Employment Generated 37 million
Share in India’s Export 4.7%

Market Size

Particulars Year 2023 Year 2022
Total Sales (units) 16,999,920 15,862,087

This growth demonstrates a rebound in the two-wheeler market, reflecting a recovering economy and an increasing consumer demand for personal mobility solutions. The projections for 2024 indicate a further increase to 17,843,445 units, hinting at a continued upward trend. This positive momentum is likely driven by a combination of factors, including urbanization, the need for affordable transportation, and a growing young population.

From 2024 to 2030, the Indian two-wheeler market is projected to witness consistent growth, with sales hitting 22,764,730 units by 2030.

Market Size in 2024 299.2 billion USD (Value terms)
Market Size in 2030 ( Estimated) 335.1 billion USD (Value terms)
CAGR ( 2017-2023) 2.42%
CAGR ( 2024-2030) 1.91%

Source: https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/india-two-wheeler-market

Peer Comparison

The India Two-Wheeler Market is fairly consolidated, with the top five companies occupying over 92%.

Following the list of top 5 market leaders

  • Hero MotoCorp Ltd.
  • Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India Pvt. Ltd.
  • TVS Motor Company Limited
  • Bajaj Auto Ltd
  • Eicher Motors ( Royal Enfield)

1) Monthly Two-wheelers Total Sale Volumes from Jan to May 2024

* Eicher motors only Two-wheeler unit ( Royal Enfield) sales figures are considered.

2) Key Figures at a Glance

Peer Name PE Ratio Promoter Holding(%) YoY Sales Volume(%) ROCE(%) ROE(%) Price to Book Value
Hero MotoCorp 28.36 34.76 14.02 21 16.87 6
TVS Motor 62.29 50.27 25.04 21.3 24.14 15.49
Eicher Motors 30.87 49.15 11.87 22 19.44 6.84
Bajaj Auto 33.56 55.06 29.41 24.62 20.64 8.93

3) Shareholding Pledged and Change in Promoters and Mutual Funds Holdings

Shareholdings Hero MotoCorp TVS Motor Eicher Motors Bajaj Auto
Share Pledged by Promoters 0 0 0 0.01 %
Change in Promoter Holding (3 Yrs) 0 -7.13 % -0.08 % 1.36 %
Change in Mutual Fund Holding (3 Yrs) 9.37 % 5.13 % 0.72 % 1.61 %

4) 5 Years Average of Key Operational Metrics

Operational Metrics Hero MotoCorp TVS Motor Eicher Motors Bajaj Auto Remarks
5yr Avg Cash Conversion Cycle -26.94 Days -51.36 Days -41.27 Days -24.07 Days Lower the better
5yr Average Interest Coverage Ratio 83.71 2.22 188.35 1138.91 Higher the better
5yr Avg Operating Profit Margin 14.68 % 11.91 % 28.57 % 21.33 % Higher the better
5 yr average Debt to Equity 0.02 3.38 0.01 0 Higher the better
5yr CAGR Net Profit -3.99 % 13.52 % 5.76 % 4.22 % Higher the better
5yr Average Return on Assets 13.6 % 3.36 % 13.77 % 17.2 % Higher the better

Definitions –

  • Cash Conversion Cycle is a term that refers to days required to get back cash spent on inventory to get back into cash from sales, therefore, the lower Average Cash Conversion Cycle is better for the entity as the possibility of cash crunch is lesser, also resulting in lower working capital finance cost.
    • Hero Motocorp and Bajaj Auto have much lower cash conversion cycle period compared to TVS Motors and Eicher Motors.
  • Interest Coverage Ratio refers to the number of times the Earning Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) cover the Interest expense, higher the better is the ratio for the company. TVS has much lower interest coverage ratio making it vulnerable to default if EBIT falls.
  • Operating Profit Margin refers to operating profit i.e all directly attributable expense reduced from revenue. Higher operating margin indicate efficient manufacturing capabilities resulting in better profits Eicher has higher margin at 28.57% compared with peers
  • The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E ratio) depicts how much debt a company has compared to its assets. It is calculated by dividing a company’s total debt by total shareholder equity. Bajaj Auto is debt free hence is has ‘zero’ Debt to Equity while TVS has ratio of 3.38 representing high debt
  • The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is the annualized average rate of net profit growth between given years, assuming growth takes place at an exponentially compounded rate.
  • The term “return on assets” (ROA) refers to a financial ratio that indicates how profitable a company is in relation to its total assets. Corporate management, analysts, and investors can use ROA to determine how efficiently a company uses its assets to generate a profit.

5) Company wise Market Shares

Hero MotoCorp Ltd

Overview: Hero MotoCorp, formerly known as Hero Honda, is the largest two-wheeler manufacturer in the world in terms of unit volume sales in a calendar year. It is based in New Delhi, India.

History:

  • Founded: 1984 as Hero Honda, a joint venture between Hero Cycles of India and Honda of Japan.
  • Renamed: In 2010, after the Hero Group and Honda ended their joint venture, the company was rebranded as Hero MotoCorp.

Key Products:

  • Motorcycles: Splendor, Passion, Glamour, Xtreme, and more.
  • Scooters: Pleasure, Maestro Edge, Duet, among others.

Market Position: Hero MotoCorp dominates the Indian market, particularly in the commuter motorcycle segment, known for its fuel-efficient and reliable products.

Balance Sheet Mar-23 Mar-24
Assets 24,202 25,572
Non-Current Assets 14,760 15,776
Net Block 5,761 5,462
Capital Work in Progress 464 121
Intangible Assets Under Development 335 360
Long Term Investments 7,372 8,812
Current Assets 9,037 9,796
Liabilities 24,202 25,572
Profit and Loss Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales  33,806 37,456
Expenses  29,815 32,200
Operating Profit 3,991 5,256
OPM % 12% 14%
Other Income  560 733
Interest 20 18
Depreciation 657 711
Profit before tax 3,875 5,258
Tax % 25% 25%
Net Profit  2,911 3,968
Cashflow Mar-23 Mar-24
Cash from Operating Activity 2,579 4,907
Profit Before Tax 3,875 3,968
Adjustments 137 1,178
OCF Before Working Capital 4,012 5,146
Working Capital Changes -583 1,075
Taxes Paid -850 -1,314
Cash from Investing Activity -469 -1,802
Cash from Financing Activity -2,041 -2,733
Net Cash Flow 70 372
Opening Cash & Cash Equivalents 98.68 168
Effect of FX
Closing Cash & Cash Equivalents 168 540
Net Capex (est) 568 710
Free Cash Flow (est) 2,012 4,196
Ratios Mar-23 Mar-24
Profitability Ratios
PBDIT Margin (%) 13.46 16.41
PBIT Margin (%) 11.52 14.51
PBT Margin (%) 11.46 14.03
Net Profit Margin (%) 8.6 10.59
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 17.42 22.06
Return on Capital Employed (%) 22.07 28.57
Return on Assets (%) 12.51 15.51
Total Debt/Equity (X) 0 0
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 1.5 1.53
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio (X) 1.61 1.5
Quick Ratio (X) 1.35 1.28
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 18.79 17.21
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 68.65 0
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 56.01 0
Earnings Retention Ratio (%) 31.35 0
Cash Earnings Retention Ratio (%) 43.99 0
Valuation Ratios
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 46,562.29 93,687.90
EV/Net Operating Revenue (X) 1.38 2.5
EV/EBITDA (X) 10.23 15.24
MarketCap/Net Operating Revenue (X) 1.39 2.52
Retention Ratios (%) 31.34 0
Price/BV (X) 2.81 5.24
Price/Net Operating Revenue 1.39 2.52
Earnings Yield 0.06 0.04

TVS Motor Company

Overview: TVS Motor Company is the third-largest two-wheeler manufacturer in India, based in Chennai, Tamil Nadu. It is part of the larger TVS Group.

History:

  • Founded: 1978, with a collaboration with Suzuki Motor Corporation, which ended in 2001.
  • Growth: Since then, TVS has grown independently, expanding its product range and market presence.

Key Products:

  • Motorcycles: Apache series, Star City, Radeon, Sport.
  • Scooters: Jupiter, Ntorq, Scooty Zest, and Pep+.
  • Mopeds: TVS XL100, a popular model in rural areas.

Market Position: TVS is known for its innovation and variety, catering to a broad segment of the market from commuter bikes to performance-oriented motorcycles and scooters.

Balance Sheet Mar-23 Mar-24
Assets 13,992 16,062
Non Current Assets 10,127 11,844
Net Block 3,596 3,772
Capital Work in Progress 628 330
Intangible Assets Under Development 354 600
Long Term Investments 5,492 6,828
Current Assets 3,668 4,218
Liabilities 13,992 16,062
Profit and Loss Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales  31,974 39,145
Expenses  27,947 33,645
Operating Profit 4,027 5,500
OPM % 13% 14%
Other Income  136 106
Interest 1,368 1,928
Depreciation 859 975
Profit before tax 1,936 2,703
Tax % 32% 34%
Net Profit  1,309 1,779
Cashflows Mar-23 Mar-24
Cash from Operating Activity 1,993 3,617
Profit Before Tax 2,003 2,781
Adjustments 680 798
OCF Before Working Capital 2,684 3,579
Working Capital Changes -208 654
Taxes Paid -483 -616
Cash from Investing Activity -2,312 -1,896
Cash from Financing Activity 225 -1,470
Net Cash Flow -94.4 251
Opening Cash & Cash Equivalents 329 234
Effect of FX
Closing Cash & Cash Equivalents 234 486
Net Capex (est) 997 1,056
Free Cash Flow (est) 996 2,562
Ratios Mar-23 Mar-24
Profitability Ratios
PBDIT Margin (%) 10.52 11.52
PBIT Margin (%) 8.12 9.32
PBT Margin (%) 7.59 8.75
Net Profit Margin (%) 5.65 6.55
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 24.65 26.94
Return on Capital Employed (%) 26.85 31.32
Return on Assets (%) 10.65 12.96
Total Debt/Equity (X) 0.37 0.2
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 2.04 2.11
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio (X) 0.61 0.64
Quick Ratio (X) 0.4 0.43
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 16.63 17.83
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 15.93 0
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 11.19 0
Earnings Retention Ratio (%) 84.07 0
Cash Earnings Retention Ratio (%) 88.81 0
Valuation Ratios
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 53,189.89 1,03,197.87
EV/Net Operating Revenue (X) 2.02 3.25
EV/EBITDA (X) 19.17 28.18
MarketCap/Net Operating Revenue (X) 1.94 3.22
Retention Ratios (%) 84.06 0
Price/BV (X) 8.46 13.22
Price/Net Operating Revenue 1.94 3.22
Earnings Yield 0.03 0.02

Eicher Motors

Overview: Eicher Motors is an Indian multinational automotive company, and its flagship brand in the two-wheeler segment is Royal Enfield. Royal Enfield is one of the oldest motorcycle brands in continuous production.

History:

  • Founded: Royal Enfield’s history dates back to 1901 in England. Eicher Motors acquired the Indian operations of Royal Enfield in 1994.
  • Turnaround: Under Eicher, Royal Enfield was transformed from a struggling brand into a premium, global motorcycle brand.

Key Products:

  • Motorcycles: Classic 350, Bullet, Himalayan, Interceptor 650, and Continental GT 650.

Market Position: Royal Enfield is known for its classic and retro-styled motorcycles, appealing to both Indian and international customers looking for leisure and lifestyle motorcycles.

Balance Sheet Mar-23 Mar-24
Assets 16,876 20,473
Non Current Assets 13,072 16,598
Net Block 2,600 2,602
Capital Work in Progress 468 210
Intangible Assets Under Development 394 343
Long Term Investments 10,060 10,768
Current Assets 3,500 3,875
Liabilities 16,876 20,473
Profit and Loss Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales  14,442 16,536
Expenses  10,996 12,209
Operating Profit 3,446 4,327
OPM % 24% 26%
Other Income  908 1,524
Interest 28 51
Depreciation 526 598
Profit before tax 3,800 5,202
Tax % 23% 23%
Net Profit  2,914 4,001
Cashflow Mar-23 Mar-24
Cash from Operating Activity 2,807 3,845
Profit Before Tax 3,508 4,970
Adjustments -5.54 -515
OCF Before Working Capital 3,503 4,455
Working Capital Changes 61.71 457
Taxes Paid -757 -1,067
Cash from Investing Activity -2,395 -3,014
Cash from Financing Activity -441 -796
Net Cash Flow -28.9 34.6
Opening Cash & Cash Equivalents 20.64 -8.26
Effect of FX 18.86
Closing Cash & Cash Equivalents -8.26 45.2
Net Capex (est) 647 805
Free Cash Flow (est) 2,160 3,040
Ratios Mar-23 Mar-24
Profitability Ratios
PBDIT Margin (%) 28.67 34.5
PBIT Margin (%) 25.03 31.03
PBT Margin (%) 24.94 30.91
Net Profit Margin (%) 18.64 23.31
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 20.35 23.89
Return on Capital Employed (%) 25.46 29.15
Return on Assets (%) 15.54 18.31
Total Debt/Equity (X) 0.01 0.01
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 0.9 0.86
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio (X) 1.15 1.15
Quick Ratio (X) 0.85 0.84
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 8.64 8.76
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 21.89 0
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 18.31 0
Earnings Retention Ratio (%) 78.11 0
Cash Earnings Retention Ratio (%) 81.69 0
Valuation Ratios
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 79,989.51 1,10,131.70
EV/Net Operating Revenue (X) 5.69 6.85
EV/EBITDA (X) 19.83 19.85
MarketCap/Net Operating Revenue (X) 5.74 6.84
Retention Ratios (%) 78.1 0
Price/BV (X) 6.26 7.01
Price/Net Operating Revenue 5.74 6.84
Earnings Yield 0.03 0.03

Bajaj Auto Ltd

Overview: Bajaj Auto is a major Indian two-wheeler and three-wheeler manufacturing company headquartered in Pune, Maharashtra. It is the world’s third-largest manufacturer of motorcycles and the second-largest in India.

History:

  • Founded: 1945, initially importing and selling two-wheelers.
  • Major Transformation: In the 1980s and 1990s, Bajaj transformed into a motorcycle manufacturer.

Key Products:

  • Motorcycles: Pulsar, Dominar, Avenger, Platina, and Discover.
  • Three-Wheelers: RE series, which is a major player in the auto-rickshaw segment.

Market Position: Bajaj is known for its performance-oriented motorcycles and has a significant presence in the international market, particularly in Africa and Latin America.

Balance Sheet Mar-23 Mar-24
Assets 31,128 34,251
Non Current Assets 21,912 23,893
Net Block 2,666 3,150
Capital Work in Progress 81.92 24.29
Intangible Assets Under Development 3.2
Long Term Investments 18,504 17,525
Current Assets 8,870 10,357
Liabilities 31,128 34,251
Profit and Loss Mar-23 Mar-24
Sales  36,455 44,870
Expenses  29,991 36,109
Operating Profit 6,465 8,762
OPM % 18% 20%
Other Income  1,703 1,704
Interest 40 60
Depreciation 286 365
Profit before tax 7,842 10,040
Tax % 23% 23%
Net Profit  6,060 7,708

 

Cashflows Mar-23 Mar-24
Cash from Operating Activity 5,512 7,478
Profit Before Tax 7,409 9,822
Adjustments -701 -978
OCF Before Working Capital 6,707 8,844
Working Capital Changes 723 1,017
Taxes Paid -1,918 -2,383
Cash from Investing Activity 1,334 -139
Cash from Financing Activity -7,179 -7,110
Net Cash Flow -333 229
Opening Cash & Cash Equivalents 564 219
Effect of FX -11.39 0.19
Closing Cash & Cash Equivalents 219 449
Net Capex (est) 806 796
Free Cash Flow (est) 4,705 6,683
Ratios Mar-23 Mar-24
Profitability Ratios
PBDIT Margin (%) 21.22 22.88
PBIT Margin (%) 20.44 22.1
PBT Margin (%) 20.33 21.98
Net Profit Margin (%) 15.44 16.73
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 22.13 30.08
Return on Capital Employed (%) 28.72 38.68
Return on Assets (%) 18.07 21.83
Total Debt/Equity (X) 0 0.03
Asset Turnover Ratio (%) 1.16 1.37
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio (X) 1.71 1.19
Quick Ratio (X) 1.44 0.99
Inventory Turnover Ratio (X) 18.27 18.92
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 71.98 0
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 68.54 0
Earnings Retention Ratio (%) 28.02 0
Cash Earnings Retention Ratio (%) 31.46 0
Valuation Ratios
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 1,09,611.67 2,55,604.75
EV/Net Operating Revenue (X) 3.01 5.72
EV/EBITDA (X) 14.18 25
MarketCap/Net Operating Revenue (X) 3.02 5.71
Retention Ratios (%) 28.01 0
Price/BV (X) 4.32 10.27
Price/Net Operating Revenue 3.02 5.71
Earnings Yield 0.05 0.03

Road Ahead…!

The transition to alternative fuels in the Indian two-wheeler market is driven by government incentives, rising fuel prices, and increasing environmental awareness. These companies are expected to expand their electric vehicle portfolios, invest in new technologies, and enhance their production capabilities. The future will likely see a mix of electric, hybrid, and alternative fuel (like ethanol and hydrogen) two-wheelers becoming mainstream, supported by improved charging infrastructure and technological advancements.

The companies that can innovate and adapt quickly will be at the forefront of this transformative shift, tapping into the growing demand for sustainable and efficient transportation solutions.

Hero Motocorp has introduced its electric scooter, the Hero Electric, and is heavily investing in EV technology and infrastructure.

TVS Motor has been proactive in the alternative fuel transition, with the launch of the iQube Electric scooter.

Eicher ( Royal Enfield ) is gradually stepping into the EV market, focusing on research and development to create electric versions of its iconic motorcycles.

Bajaj Auto has launched the electric scooter, Chetak, which has received a positive market response. Bajaj’s partnership with KTM and their investments in electric vehicle (EV) technology signal a strong commitment to this transition.

Disclaimer: This blog has been written exclusively for educational purposes. The securities mentioned are only examples and not recommendations. It is based on several secondary sources on the internet, and is subject to changes. Please consult an expert before making related decisions.

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