It is natural to look at the Union Budget each year from the point of view of the equity markets. The Sensex and the Nifty have been the barometers of market value and market sentiments and their gyrations best reflect the market interpretation of the Union Budget. If you look back at the last 2 …
It has been an extraordinary year so far. We have seen both, Sensex and Nifty, hitting new highs, which reverberates the power of long term equity investing. At the beginning of 2017, nobody could have guessed how the year would eventually turn out to be. The year 2017 was expected to reflect the effect of …
The trade data that came in for the month of August continued the trend of monthly trade deficit staying above the $11 billion mark. For the first five months of the fiscal, the trade deficit has come in at $63 billion and India looks set to cross $150 billion of trade deficit for the full …
Retail CPI inflation for the month of August 2017 came in sharply higher at 3.36%. This is 100 bps higher than the inflation level in July and 190 bps higher than the level in June this year. This was a concern that the RBI had repeatedly expressed through the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). In fact, …
The IIP for the month of July 2017 was slightly higher at 1.2% compared to the negative growth shown in the month of June. However, manufacturing continued to disappoint. This IIP number was important for a variety of reasons. For the first quarter ended June 2017, the GDP had come at a multi-year low of …
Over the last few weeks there have been some key data points that have raised concerns over the pace of rate cuts adopted by the RBI. It may be recollected that back in February 2017, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) had shifted its monetary stance from “Accommodative” to “Neutral”. Over the last few quarters there …
Come September and Dr. Urjit Patel completes one year in office. The year gone by has been eventful, to say the least. Let us not forget that even as the RBI Deputy Governor, Dr. Patel was a man of few words and was rarely seen giving public interviews or issuing macroeconomic statements. A lot of …
Core sector growth for the month of July came in at 2.4%, which is a slight improvement over the 0.8% core sector growth shown in the month of June 2017. The core sector is a combination of 8 core infrastructure sectors which form the back bone of the economy and includes coal, crude oil, natural …
Recently, India’s forex reserves touched an all-time high of $394 billion. In fact, India is already the 8th largest economy in the world in terms of forex reserves and is expected to cross the$400 billion mark by the first week of September. India’s rising forex reserves also represents the shifting oil dividends due to sustained weakness …
The Reuters consensus estimate for GDP growth for the first quarter ended June 2017 was slightly lower at 6.6%. However, the GDP growth for first quarter announced on 31st August was nearly 100 basis points lower than the Reuters consensus. For the quarter ended June 2017, the MOSPI announced India’s annualised GDP growth at 5.7% with …
